24th October MIRASSOL - SAO PAULO

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Mirassol is the shortest price on a book of 2.32 / 3.2 / 3.1 (1 / X / 2), an implied 40.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 40.4% / 29.3% / 30.3% on an overround of 6.6%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.2 (29.3%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Mirassol sit 14th on 36 points (9W 9D 13L) with Sao Paulo 9th on 42 points (12W 6D 13L).

• Mirassol read W-L-D-W-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Sao Paulo read W-W-L-L-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 3-1-2 — Mirassol wins, draws, then Sao Paulo wins. Their last meeting finished Mirassol - Sao Paulo: 3-0.

• Mirassol lean hardest on Willian Machado (9.5), Reinaldo Manoel da Silva (9.3), Igor Formiga (8.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Sao Paulo lean hardest on Robert Arboleda (9.5), Marcos Antonio (9.1), Artur Guimaraes (8.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Mirassol at 2.32 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 23rd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.