24th October SAN LORENZO - NEWELL S OLD BOYS

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• A narrow edge, nothing more. San Lorenzo is the shortest price on a book of 2.58 / 2.70 / 3.43 (1 / X / 2), an implied 36.9%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 36.9% / 35.3% / 27.8% on an overround of 5.0%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 2.70 (35.3%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table San Lorenzo sit 2nd on 32 points (10W 2D 6L) with Newell S Old Boys 1st on 35 points (10W 5D 3L).

• San Lorenzo read W-W-L-L-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Newell S Old Boys read W-L-D-W-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 3D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-2-0 — San Lorenzo wins, draws, then Newell S Old Boys wins. Their last meeting finished Newell S Old Boys - San Lorenzo: 0-0.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading San Lorenzo first, then Newell S Old Boys, out of their last six: U 2.50 4 and 5.

• San Lorenzo lean hardest on Danilo Arboleda (9.5), Alexis Cuello (8.6), Lucas Rodriguez Pagano (8.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Newell S Old Boys lean hardest on Walter Mazzantti (9.5), Matias Coccaro (9.5), Martin Ortega (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 2.70 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 23rd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.