23rd October CHAVES - VIZELA

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• The market cannot separate these two. Chaves is the shortest price on a book of 2.50 / 3.20 / 2.50 (1 / X / 2), an implied 36.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 36.0% / 28.1% / 36.0% on an overround of 11.3%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.20 (28.1%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Chaves sit 17th on 5 points (1W 2D 4L) with Vizela 8th on 11 points (3W 2D 2L).

• Chaves read D-L-W-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Vizela read L-D-W-W-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 4-0-2 — Chaves wins, draws, then Vizela wins. Their last meeting finished Vizela - Chaves: 3-2.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.20 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 22nd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.