23rd October TORINO - MONZA

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• The market leans one way without any real conviction. Torino is the shortest price on a book of 2.15 / 3.30 / 3.50 (1 / X / 2), an implied 44.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 44.1% / 28.8% / 27.1% on an overround of 5.4%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.30 (28.8%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Torino sit 10th on 10 points (3W 1D 3L) with Monza 14th on 7 points (2W 1D 4L).

• Torino read W-W-D-L-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Monza read W-L-W-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 3-3-0 — Torino wins, draws, then Monza wins. Their last meeting finished Monza - Torino: 0-2.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Torino first, then Monza, out of their last six: GG 4 and 5.

• Torino team news: Abate is likely to name the same starting eleven that triumphed at Parma in the last round.

• Torino team news: The main uncertainty lies in defence, where Ismajli could replace Ricardo Rodriguez, with Saul Coco shifting to the left-centre position.

• Monza team news: Following his suspension, Ivan Juric welcomes back Lucchesi, who is likely to start, with Goglichidze making way on the bench.

• Monza team news: Foe Ondoa is poised to start in midfield alongside Akinsamiro, while Birindelli is set to continue on the right and Mangas on the left.

• Torino are without 2 — Emirhan Ilkhan (Out - injured), Niccolò Fortini (Doubtful - injured).

• Monza are without 4 — Matteo Pessina (Out - injured), Jan Ziólkowski (Out - injured), Idrissa Touré (Doubtful - injured), Yvan Maye (Doubtful - injured).

• Early lineups are in: Torino set up 3-4-2-1 against 3-4-2-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Torino lean hardest on Giovanni Simeone (9.2), Lucas Perri (9.2), Nikola Vlasic (9.2) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Niccolò Fortini is out for Torino — index 6.3, against 9.4 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Monza lean hardest on Samuele Birindelli (8.1), Andrea Carboni (8.1), Ebenezer Akinsanmiro (8.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Yvan Maye is out for Monza — index 6.6, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Torino 3 - 2 Monza, a home win by 1 with 5 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Torino at 2.15 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 22nd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.