BURTON - NOTTS CO.
There is barely a price between the sides. Burton is the shortest price on a book of 2.30 / 3.80 / 2.40 (1 / X / 2), an implied 39.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 39.0% / 23.6% / 37.4% on an overround of 11.5%.
Money has come for over 2.5 goals: the price has shortened from 1.64 to 1.50, a move of 9.3%. Steam like that on the day of the game usually reflects team news the wider market has not caught up with yet.
Under 2.5 goals has drifted from 2.13 to 2.40 (11.3%). Layers are happy to take that side on, which is worth respecting.
The goals market is priced 1.79 under 2.5 / 2.03 over 2.5, leaning to the unders.
In the league table Burton sit 2nd on 2 points (0W 2D 0L) with Notts Co. 1st on 6 points (2W 0D 0L).
Burton read L-W-D-D-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 3D 2L) — patchy.
Notts Co. read W-D-W-L-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.
Head to head the record reads 0-0-2 — Burton wins, draws, then Notts Co. wins. Their last meeting finished Notts Co. - Burton: 2-1.
Our last-six model flags 3 qualifying strikes here. Reading Burton first, then Notts Co., out of their last six: U 2.50 4 and 4, HT U 1.50 5 and 6, NG 4 and 3.
Burton lean hardest on Corey Addai (9.5), Curtis Tilt (9.5), Kgaogelo Chauke (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Notts Co. lean hardest on Jacob Bedeau (9.5), Nick Tsaroulla (9.5), James Belshaw (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
The read: With barely anything between them on price, this is one to leave alone in the 1X2 market and attack in the goals or handicap markets instead. The late money is pointing the same way.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 16:00 on 10th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.