MUSHUC RUNA - DELFIN
This is priced as a mismatch. Mushuc Runa is the shortest price on a book of 1.66 / 3.4 / 5.25 (1 / X / 2), an implied 55.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 55.4% / 27.1% / 17.5% on an overround of 8.7%.
The draw is unusually well backed at 3.4 (27.1%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.
Money has come for under 2.5 goals: the price has shortened from 1.77 to 1.62, a move of 9.3%. Steam like that on the day of the game usually reflects team news the wider market has not caught up with yet.
Over 2.5 goals has drifted from 2.01 to 2.17 (7.4%). Layers are happy to take that side on, which is worth respecting.
The goals market is priced 1.83 under 2.5 / 2.01 over 2.5, leaning to the unders.
In the league table Mushuc Runa sit 2nd on 40 points (9W 13D 13L) with Delfin 4th on 38 points (10W 8D 17L).
Mushuc Runa read L-L-D-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 2D 4L) — poor.
Delfin read W-L-W-W-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.
Head to head the record reads 2-0-2 — Mushuc Runa wins, draws, then Delfin wins. Their last meeting finished Delfin - Mushuc Runa: 3-2.
Our last-six model flags 6 qualifying strikes here. Reading Mushuc Runa first, then Delfin, out of their last six: HT DRAW 4 and 3, O 2.50 4 and 4, O 3.50 3 and 4, HT O 1.50 4 and 4, GG 5 and 5, HT GG 3 and 3.
The read: Mushuc Runa at 1.66 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it. The late money is pointing the same way.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 17:30 on 9th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.