RB LEIPZIG - AUGSBURG
The market expects a one-sided afternoon. Rb Leipzig is the shortest price on a book of 1.45 / 5.00 / 5.75 (1 / X / 2), an implied 64.8%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 64.8% / 18.8% / 16.4% on an overround of 6.4%.
Liquidity is strong — €117,814 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
Our monitoring has flagged unusual money on this game: 89% of the matched volume has gone on over 2.5 goals. Treat it as a signal to look closer, not as a tip in itself.
In the league table Rb Leipzig sit 4th on 15 points (5W 0D 3L) with Augsburg 11th on 9 points (2W 3D 3L).
Rb Leipzig read L-W-W-L-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 0D 3L) — patchy.
Augsburg read L-D-L-D-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 3D 3L) — more bad than good.
Head to head the record reads 3-1-0 — Rb Leipzig wins, draws, then Augsburg wins. Their last meeting finished Rb Leipzig - Augsburg: 2-1.
Rb Leipzig team news: Antonio Nusa and Max Finkgräfe's availability is uncertain before Augsburg's arrival.
Rb Leipzig team news: Although Marc Guiu has resumed training, he will not be selected for the match on Saturday.
Augsburg team news: Manuel Baum might choose not to make any changes, despite the previous defeat to Freiburg.
Augsburg team news: Juma Bah will complete his two-match suspension on Saturday.
Rb Leipzig are without 4 — Antonio Nusa (Doubtful - injured), Max Finkgräfe (Doubtful - injured), Assan Ouédraogo (Out - injured), Marc Guiu (Out - injured). Antonio Nusa (7.87/10) would normally be first on the team sheet — that is a real hole in this side.
Augsburg are without 7 — Steve Mounié (Out - injured), Tim Breithaupt (Out - injured), Faik Sakar (Out - injured), Sima Suso (Doubtful - injured), Noahkai Banks (Out - injured), Calvin Brackelmann (Out - injured).
Early lineups are in: Rb Leipzig set up 4-2-3-1 against 3-4-2-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Rb Leipzig lean hardest on Willi Orbán (8.8), David Raum (8.8), Maarten Vandevoordt (8.8) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Antonio Nusa is out for Rb Leipzig — index 8.8, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Marc Guiu is out for Rb Leipzig — index 5.6, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Augsburg lean hardest on Finn Dahmen (7.7), Han-Noah Massengo (7.7), Chrislain Matsima (7.7) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Noahkai Banks is out for Augsburg — index 5.3, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Calvin Brackelmann is out for Augsburg — index 8.0, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Juma Bah is out for Augsburg — index 6.6, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Played at Red Bull Arena, capacity 47,800. Daniel Schlager takes charge.
The projected score for this one is Rb Leipzig 2 - 0 Augsburg, a home win by 2 with 2 goals in it — short of the 2.5 line.
The read: Rb Leipzig at 1.45 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 14:00 on 7th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.