SEVILLA - DEPORTIVO ALAVES
This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Sevilla is the shortest price on a book of 1.91 / 3.5 / 4 (1 / X / 2), an implied 49.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 49.4% / 27.0% / 23.6% on an overround of 5.9%.
Liquidity is strong — €34,340 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
Our monitoring has flagged unusual money on this game: 83% of the matched volume has gone on Sevilla to win. Treat it as a signal to look closer, not as a tip in itself.
In the league table Sevilla sit 6th on 17 points (5W 2D 4L) with Deportivo Alaves 11th on 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
Sevilla read L-W-L-D-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.
Deportivo Alaves read L-D-L-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 2D 4L) — poor.
Head to head the record reads 1-2-1 — Sevilla wins, draws, then Deportivo Alaves wins. Their last meeting finished Sevilla - Deportivo Alaves: 1-1.
Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Sevilla first, then Deportivo Alaves, out of their last six: HT U 1.50 5 and 6.
Sevilla lean hardest on Odysseas Vlachodimos (9.5), Juan Iglesias (9.3), Lucien Agoume (9.2) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Deportivo Alaves lean hardest on Antonio Sivera (9.5), Lucas Boye (8.5), Abderrahman Rebbach (8.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
The read: Sevilla at 1.91 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 21:00 on 5th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.