09 Apr 19:30 Man City v West Brom


Man City v West Brom

Man City still have plenty to play for this season. After Wednesday nights 2-2 draw with PSG, they have the 2nd leg coming up on Tuesday night, and there is the possibility they could rotate their squad for this match. Manuel Pellegrini’s side are coming off a comfortable 4-0 win away at Bournemouth. This much needed victory left City in 4th place, just 1 point and 1 place above City rivals United. Manchester City’s recent home form reads a decent looking W9, D1, L5.

When playing teams of West Brom’s stature Manchester City again have a decent home record that reads W8, D1, L1, and here they can be backed at around 1.32.

The recent head-to-head record at the Etihad Stadium is dominated by the home side and reads Manchester City 5 Wins, 0 Draws, and West Brom 0 Wins.

The draw can be backed at around 5.60 and at this price, looks to offer some decent value.

West Brom are coming into this game having hit the magical 40 points, and their Premier League status is assured for another season. Here they are coming off a 0-0 draw away at Sunderland and this left the Baggies in 11th place. West Brom’s recent away record reads a resilient looking W4, D6, L5.

When facing the Premier League elite sides West Brom’s away record reads a very poor looking W1, D2, L7 and here they can be backed at around 13.00. If you do fancy Tony Pulis side to do well here then you can keep the 1 goal loss on your side, and West Brom can be backed on the Asian Handicap +1.5 at around 2.05. 

When considering the goal line then we have some mixed stats. Looking at how both teams have performed against similar opposition in the 20 matches, 7 have seen 4 or more goals, 4 have seen 3 goals and 9 have seen 2 or less. 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings have seen at least 3 goals, and my ratings suggest the some small value backing Over 2.5/3 at around 1.98.

This is tricky end of season match up. Here my ratings are suggesting some decent value backing West Brom on the handicap. Here the Baggies have not much to play for and City are still very much fighting for a Top 4 place. Indeed City have a de cent record at home to the mid table sides, where 7 of their 8 victories have come by 2 or more goals. Obviously motivation has to be considered, however I am going to stick by my numbers and oppose a City side that have lost 3 of their last 4 home games. Here they are coming up against a West Brom side who have only lost 1 of their last 6 Premier League matches and so my recommended trade is West Brom +1.5 at around 2.05.

Category: Predictions

Written by: Matchbook

Date: 07:21 09 Apr, 2016