CHARLTON - BOLTON
There is a clear but slim favourite here. Charlton is the shortest price on a book of 2.15 / 3.3 / 3.25 (1 / X / 2), an implied 43.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 43.2% / 28.2% / 28.6% on an overround of 7.6%.
The draw is unusually well backed at 3.3 (28.2%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.
Bolton to win has drifted from 3.01 to 3.22 (6.5%). Layers are happy to take that side on, which is worth respecting.
Liquidity is strong — €40,320 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Charlton sit 20th on 14 points (3W 5D 5L) with Bolton 19th on 14 points (4W 2D 7L).
Charlton read L-L-L-D-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 2D 4L) — poor.
Bolton read L-L-D-W-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.
Head to head the record reads 4-0-2 — Charlton wins, draws, then Bolton wins. Their last meeting finished Bolton - Charlton: 1-2.
Our last-six model flags 5 qualifying strikes here. Reading Charlton first, then Bolton, out of their last six: O 2.50 4 and 5, O 3.50 3 and 4, HT O 1.50 4 and 3, GG 4 and 5, HT GG 3 and 3.
Charlton team news: Kayne Ramsay is a doubt for the visit of Bolton after picking up an injury during the match against Middlesbrough on Saturday.
Charlton team news: Nathan Jones may turn to Dan McNamara as a replacement on Tuesday evening.
Bolton team news: Bolton saw Ryan Hardie return from injury for the game against Bristol City on Saturday.
Bolton team news: Chris Forino has sustained an issue on his comeback and will be swapped out for Lewis Brunt.
Charlton are without 4 — Kayne Ramsay (Doubtful - injured), Collins Sichenje (Out - injured), Matty Godden (Out - injured), Rob Apter (Out - injured).
Bolton are without 7 — Chris Forino (Doubtful - injured), Gavin Bazunu (Out - injured), Eoin Toal (Out - injured), Ethan Erhahon (Out - injured), John McAtee (Out - injured), Jayden Nelson (Out - injured). Chris Forino (7.27/10) would normally be first on the team sheet — that is a real hole in this side.
Early lineups are in: Charlton set up 3-4-2-1 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Charlton lean hardest on Lloyd Jones (8.4), Karlan Grant (8.4), Arthur Okonkwo (8.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Kayne Ramsay is out for Charlton — index 7.6, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Bolton lean hardest on Samuel Iling-Junior (9.0), Josh Sheehan (8.7), Thierry Gale (8.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Chris Forino is out for Bolton — index 5.7, against 8.4 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Gavin Bazunu is out for Bolton — index 7.1, against 7.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Eoin Toal is out for Bolton — index 7.7, against 8.4 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Ethan Erhahon is out for Bolton — index 7.4, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
John McAtee is out for Bolton — index 5.4, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Played at The Valley, capacity 27,111. Steve Martin takes charge.
The projected score for this one is Charlton 1 - 1 Bolton, a draw with 2 goals in it — short of the 2.5 line.
The read: Charlton at 2.15 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 19:30 on 3rd November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.