PSV EINDHOVEN - WILLEM II
The market expects a one-sided afternoon. Psv Eindhoven is the shortest price on a book of 1.07 / 13.00 / 21.00 (1 / X / 2), an implied 88.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 88.2% / 7.3% / 4.5% on an overround of 5.9%.
Liquidity is strong — €100,560 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Psv Eindhoven sit 3rd on 20 points (6W 2D 2L) with Willem Ii 18th on 2 points (0W 2D 8L).
Psv Eindhoven read D-W-L-L-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.
Willem Ii read L-L-L-L-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 1D 5L) — a badly out of sorts side.
Head to head the record reads 1-1-0 — Psv Eindhoven wins, draws, then Willem Ii wins. Their last meeting finished Psv Eindhoven - Willem Ii: 1-1.
Psv Eindhoven team news: Peter Bosz continues to be without Sam Lammers, Ricardo Pepi, Sami Ouaissa, Adamo Nagalo, Paul Wanner, Alassane Pléa and Jerdy Schouten, but Ruben van Bommel is back in contention and set to play a significant part.
Psv Eindhoven team news: Matěj Kovář is likely to remain in goal behind Sergiño Dest, Lutsharel Geertruida, Armando Obispo and Filip Kostić. Kovář’s six saves against Feyenoord were pivotal, while PSV’s unbeaten home record has been built on strong attacking play and the ability to bounce back from tough periods.
Willem Ii team news: Adrie Koster is without Justin Hoogma, Amine Lachkar, and Thijs Muller through injury, while Jaden Slory is serving a suspension after being sent off against Helmond Sport in the KNVB Cup.
Willem Ii team news: Thomas Didillon-Hödl is set to start in goal behind Hidde ter Avest, Finn Stam, Maxim Dekker and Nathan Tjoe-A-On. Willem II have conceded 32 league goals in ten matches, including six against Cambuur last weekend, and are yet to keep a clean sheet this season.
Psv Eindhoven are without 6 — Paul Wanner (Out - injured), Ricardo Pepi (Out - injured), Alassane Pléa (Out - injured), Sami Ouaissa (Out - injured), Sam Lammers (Out - injured), Jerdy Schouten (Out - injured).
Willem Ii are without 4 — Jaden Slory (Out - suspended), Amine Lachkar (Out - injured), Thijs Muller (Out - injured), Justin Hoogma (Out - injured).
Early lineups are in: Psv Eindhoven set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Psv Eindhoven lean hardest on Armando Obispo (7.4), Sergiño Dest (7.4), Matej Kovár (7.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Paul Wanner is out for Psv Eindhoven — index 6.6, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Ricardo Pepi is out for Psv Eindhoven — index 6.7, against 9.0 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Willem Ii lean hardest on Hidde ter Avest (9.1), Nathan Tjoe-A-On (9.1), Finn Stam (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Jaden Slory is out for Willem Ii — index 9.4, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Noticeable.
Justin Hoogma is out for Willem Ii — index 6.0, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Played at Philips Stadion, capacity 35,119. Danny Makkelie takes charge.
The projected score for this one is Psv Eindhoven 4 - 0 Willem Ii, a home win by 4 with 4 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.
The read: Psv Eindhoven at 1.07 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 17:30 on 31st October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.