Chelsea are entering this match in some very good domestic form. After drawing 1-1 at home to Stoke last weekend, the blues are now undefeated in 13 Premier League matches. Currently they sit in 10th place on 40 points. Indeed since Guus Hiddink took over from Jose Mourinho. Chelsea’s only defeat came against today’s opponents in the first leg. Chelsea’s recent domestic home form reads W6, D5, L4.
When hosting the Top 6 sides Chelsea’s record again reads a very strong W6, D3, L1.
Chelsea’s recent European Champions League home record reads a very solid looking W7, D1, L2 and they have only tasted defeat in 4 of their last 36 European home games.
Since 2000 the 2 sides have met three times at Stamford Bridge with Chelsea winning 1 game and the other 2 ending a draw.
PSG are completely coasting in Ligue 1 after drawing 0-0 at home to Montpellier at the weekend, PSG now top the table on 74 points, which is 23 ahead of 2nd place Monaco. PSG’s general domestic away form reads a dominant W12, D2, L1.
When visiting the French top 6 sides, PSG’s form reads a very resilient looking W5, D4, L1.
PSG’s away Champions league form is mixed and reads W4, D2, L4.
As far as goals are concerned then the stats point to goals. When looking at both sides last 10 European home and away matches, we can see in the 20 matches that 11 have seen 3 or more goals, 7 games have seen 2 goals scored and only 2 matches have seen 1 or less goals. Domestically only 2 of Chelsea’s last 15 home games have seen 1 or less goals scored.
This looks an excellent evening of European football at Stamford Bridge and the match situation is as follows. Chelsea will go through if they win by 2 or more goals, or win whilst keeping a clean sheet. PSG will go through if they win or draw the match. The only way the game can go into extra time is if Chelsea win 2-1.
Here my ratings suggest value in backing Over 2.0/2.5 goals, and considering both teams have found the net in all 7 of Chelsea’s last 7 Premier League home games, then Over 2.0/2.5 goals looks a decent shout. For my trade I am turning to the match line where Chelsea look to be returning to some decent form. This tournament along with the FA Cup are the only pieces of silverware the English Champions can pick up this season and they will certainly target this match. PSG have been dominant domestically, however historically away from home in this competition they do tend not to beat the more established sides with their biggest scalp being that of Shakhtar Donetsk. As previously noted Chelsea boast a strong European home record and my ratings suggest they should be giving away a quarter of a goal. So my recommended trade for this game is Chelsea +0.0 goals at around 2.10.