HIBERNIAN - CELTIC
This is priced as a mismatch. Celtic is the shortest price on a book of 4.50 / 4.33 / 1.57 (1 / X / 2), an implied 58.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 20.4% / 21.2% / 58.4% on an overround of 9.0%.
Under 2.5 goals has drifted from 2.45 to 2.63 (6.8%). Layers are happy to take that side on, which is worth respecting.
Liquidity is strong — €117,053 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Hibernian sit 12th on 7 points (2W 1D 6L) with Celtic 1st on 24 points (8W 0D 1L).
Hibernian read L-L-D-L-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.
Celtic read L-W-L-W-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 0D 4L) — poor.
Head to head the record reads 2-1-3 — Hibernian wins, draws, then Celtic wins. Their last meeting finished Hibernian - Celtic: 1-2.
Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Hibernian first, then Celtic, out of their last six: HT GG 2 and 5.
Hibernian lean hardest on Raphael Sallinger (9.5), Felix Passlack (9.5), Jason Kerr (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Celtic lean hardest on Kieran Tierney (9.5), Mika Baur (9.5), Colby Donovan (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
The read: Celtic at 1.57 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 11:50 on 25th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.