BAHIA - FLAMENGO
This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Flamengo is the shortest price on a book of 3.75 / 3.50 / 1.96 (1 / X / 2), an implied 48.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 25.1% / 26.9% / 48.0% on an overround of 6.3%.
Liquidity is strong — €20,182 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Bahia sit 6th on 49 points (13W 10D 7L) with Flamengo 2nd on 64 points (19W 7D 4L).
Bahia read W-L-L-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 0D 2L) — a strong recent run.
Flamengo read D-W-D-W-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 3D 0L) — a strong recent run.
Head to head the record reads 1-0-5 — Bahia wins, draws, then Flamengo wins. Their last meeting finished Bahia - Flamengo: 1-0.
Bahia lean hardest on Ronaldo Oliveira (9.5), Rodrigo Nestor (9.1), Alejo Veliz (9.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Flamengo lean hardest on Agustin Rossi (9.5), Leo Pereira (8.8), Leo Ortiz (8.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Played at Arena Fonte Nova, capacity 56,500. Wilton Sampaio takes charge.
The read: Flamengo at 1.96 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:00 on 18th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.