VENEZIA - SSC NAPOLI
A heavy favourite, with the price to match. Ssc Napoli is the shortest price on a book of 4.75 / 3.90 / 1.70 (1 / X / 2), an implied 55.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 20.0% / 24.3% / 55.7% on an overround of 5.5%.
Liquidity is strong — 34,204 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Venezia sit 20th on 0 points (0W 0D 6L) with Ssc Napoli 8th on 10 points (3W 1D 2L).
Venezia read L-L-L-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 0D 6L) — a badly out of sorts side.
Ssc Napoli read L-W-D-W-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.
Head to head the record reads 0-1-1 — Venezia wins, draws, then Ssc Napoli wins. Their last meeting finished Venezia - Ssc Napoli: 0-0.
Venezia team news: Davide Nicola selects a 3-5-2 setup for the hosts. Filip Stankovic is in goal.
Venezia team news: Matías Moreno, Juan Jesus, and Redouane Halhal make up the back three.
Ssc Napoli team news: Massimiliano Allegri's visitors line up in a 3-4-2-1 shape. Alex Meret is the goalkeeper.
Ssc Napoli team news: Rafa Marín, Amir Rrahmani, and Benoît Badiashile form the defensive trio.
Venezia are without 4 — Bartol Franjic (Out - injured), Gianluca Busio (Out - injured), Armel Bella-Kotchap (Doubtful - injured), Thierry Correia (Doubtful - injured).
Ssc Napoli are without 6 — Costantino Favasuli (Out - injured), Antonio Vergara (Out - injured), Alessandro Buongiorno (Doubtful - injured), Mathías Olivera (Doubtful - injured), Frank Anguissa (Doubtful - injured), Alisson Santos (Doubtful - injured).
Early lineups are in: Venezia set up 3-5-2 against 3-4-2-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Venezia lean hardest on John Yeboah (9.0), Filip Stankovic (9.0), Kike Pérez (9.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Gianluca Busio is out for Venezia — index 6.5, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Armel Bella-Kotchap is out for Venezia — index 5.8, against 8.6 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Thierry Correia is out for Venezia — index 7.9, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Ssc Napoli lean hardest on Stanislav Lobotka (7.6), Giovanni Di Lorenzo (7.6), Amir Rrahmani (7.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Antonio Vergara is out for Ssc Napoli — index 6.3, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Mathias Olivera is out for Ssc Napoli — index 7.3, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Frank Anguissa is out for Ssc Napoli — index 5.7, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Alisson Santos is out for Ssc Napoli — index 5.9, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
The projected score for this one is Venezia 0 - 2 Ssc Napoli, an away win by 2 with 2 goals in it — short of the 2.5 line.
The read: Ssc Napoli at 1.70 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 14:30 on 16th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.
