BURNLEY - CHARLTON
A heavy favourite, with the price to match. Burnley is the shortest price on a book of 1.56 / 3.75 / 5.5 (1 / X / 2), an implied 58.8%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 58.8% / 24.5% / 16.7% on an overround of 9.0%.
Liquidity is strong — €32,376 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Burnley sit 22nd on 7 points (1W 4D 4L) with Charlton 12th on 13 points (3W 4D 2L).
Burnley read W-D-L-D-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 3D 2L) — patchy.
Charlton read D-L-D-D-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 4D 2L) — patchy.
Head to head the record reads 5-0-1 — Burnley wins, draws, then Charlton wins. Their last meeting finished Charlton - Burnley: 0-3.
Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Burnley first, then Charlton, out of their last six: DRAW 3 and 4.
Burnley team news: Burnley will assess Zeki Amdouni following his ankle injury sustained against Watford.
Burnley team news: Ugo Raghouber picked up an injury during Friday's training session and is a doubt for Charlton's visit.
Charlton team news: Billy Koumetio, Kayne Ramsay and Will Mannion all returned to Charlton's squad at the weekend.
Charlton team news: Ivan Seik and Millenic Alli may both start at Turf Moor on Tuesday evening.
Burnley are without 10 — Zeki Amdouni (Doubtful - injured), Ugo Raghouber (Doubtful - injured), Aaron Ramsey (Out - injured), Enock Agyei (Out - injured), Jordan Beyer (Out - injured), Ashley Barnes (Out - injured).
Charlton are without 2 — Collins Sichenje (Out - injured), Matty Godden (Out - injured).
Early lineups are in: Burnley set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Burnley lean hardest on Max Alleyne (9.5), Reo Hatate (8.3), Anel Ahmedhodzic (8.2) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Zeki Amdouni is out for Burnley — index 8.5, against 8.2 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Ugo Raghouber is out for Burnley — index 8.3, against 7.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Noticeable.
Aaron Ramsey is out for Burnley — index 7.4, against 8.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Hannibal Mejbri is out for Burnley — index 5.7, against 8.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Charlton lean hardest on Lloyd Jones (7.6), Karlan Grant (7.6), Conor Coventry (7.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Played at Turf Moor, capacity 21,944.
The projected score for this one is Burnley 2 - 1 Charlton, a home win by 1 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.
The read: Burnley at 1.56 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 19:30 on 13th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.