Norwich v Liverpool
23 Jan 2016 14:45 Norwich v Liverpool
Norwich City have made an average start to the season, and here they are coming off a very disappointing 0-3 defeat away at fellow promoted side Bournemouth. This defeat left Alex Neil’s side in 16th place on 23 points, and the Canaries are now only 2 points above the drop zone. Norwich’s recent Premier League home form reads an average looking W5, D4, L6. However, it should also be noted that they are now undefeated in 5 home matches.
When hosting mid table sides, Norwich’s record reads a reasonable looking W4, D4, L2 and they can be can be backed at around 4.45. If you do fancy the Canaries to do well here then your best option is certainly to keep the draw on your side, and they can be backed +0.5 goals on the Asian handicap at around 2.02.
The recent head-to-head record at Carrow Road certainly favours the visitors, and reads Norwich 0 wins, 0 Draws and Liverpool 3 wins.
The draw can be backed at around 3.55 and this looks to offer some decent value.
After losing 0-1 to bitter rivals Manchester United at Anfield last weekend, Liverpool have now gone 3 Premier League games without a victory. Sunday’s defeat has left Jürgen Klopp’s side in 9th place on 31 points, and they are now 8 points behind 4th place Spurs. Liverpool’s recent away form reads an average looking W4, D5, L6.
When visiting promoted side’s Liverpool’s away record reads a decent looking W5, D2, L3 and they can be backed at around 1.95.
When considering the goal line then we have some mixed stats. When looking at both sides' last 10 home and away games against similar opposition then in the 20 matches 10 have seen 3 or more goals, 3 games have seen 2 goals scored, and 7 have seen 1 or less goals. My ratings suggest some value in Under 2.0/2.5 goals which can be backed at around 2.05.
This looks a very interesting matchup between 2 sides that are desperate for the victory. When looking at the goal line the value is certainly with unders, and this is backed up by the fact that Liverpool have seen 14 of their last 20 away matches finish with 2 or less goals. For my trade I am going with the home side. As previously stated they are now unbeaten in 5 home games, and here they are coming up against a Liverpool side who are extremely inconsistent having lost 3 of their last 4 away matches. These defeats came at Newcastle, Watford & West Ham where Jürgen Klopp’s side also failed to find the net. Despite the recent head-to-head results some small value lies with the home side to avoid defeat. So my recommended trade is Norwich +0.5 goals at around 2.02.