SHIJIAZHUANG GONGFU - DALIAN KUNCHENG
There is a clear but slim favourite here. Shijiazhuang Gongfu is the shortest price on a book of 2.33 / 3.01 / 3.16 (1 / X / 2), an implied 39.8%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 39.8% / 30.8% / 29.4% on an overround of 7.8%.
The draw is unusually well backed at 3.01 (30.8%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.
Money has come for the draw: the price has shortened from 3.20 to 3.00, a move of 6.7%. Steam like that on the day of the game usually reflects team news the wider market has not caught up with yet.
Dalian Kuncheng to win has drifted from 2.70 to 3.00 (10.0%). Layers are happy to take that side on, which is worth respecting.
In the league table Shijiazhuang Gongfu sit 8th on 31 points (8W 7D 9L) with Dalian Kuncheng 11th on 29 points (7W 8D 9L).
Shijiazhuang Gongfu read W-D-W-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (5W 1D 0L) — about as good as form gets.
Dalian Kuncheng read L-W-D-D-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.
Head to head the record reads 0-1-1 — Shijiazhuang Gongfu wins, draws, then Dalian Kuncheng wins. Their last meeting finished Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dalian Kuncheng: 2-2.
Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Shijiazhuang Gongfu first, then Dalian Kuncheng, out of their last six: BEST-WORST (4 wins against 4 defeats).
The read: Shijiazhuang Gongfu at 2.33 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it. The late money is pointing the same way.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 21:30 on 5th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.