COSTA RICA - HAITI
The market leans one way without any real conviction. Costa Rica is the shortest price on a book of 2.1 / 3.6 / 3 (1 / X / 2), an implied 43.8%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 43.8% / 25.5% / 30.7% on an overround of 8.7%.
Money has come for over 2.5 goals: the price has shortened from 1.91 to 1.66, a move of 15.1%. Steam like that on the day of the game usually reflects team news the wider market has not caught up with yet.
Under 2.5 goals has drifted from 1.86 to 2.15 (13.5%). Layers are happy to take that side on, which is worth respecting.
The goals market is priced 1.81 under 2.5 / 2.05 over 2.5, leaning to the unders.
In the league table Costa Rica sit 3rd on 0 points (0W 0D 0L) with Haiti 2nd on 0 points (0W 0D 0L).
Head to head the record reads 4-1-1 — Costa Rica wins, draws, then Haiti wins. Their last meeting finished Haiti - Costa Rica: 1-0.
The read: Costa Rica at 2.1 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it. The late money is pointing the same way.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 4th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.