Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid
This should be another excellent night of European football. Carlo Ancelotti’s side were unlucky not to be taking a lead into this leg from last weeks game and they are rightful favourites here. My ratings suggest value in the goal line and a goal in the early exchanges would certainly open the game up. For my trade I am going to turn to the match line where Diego Simeone’s side have certainly had the better of recent meetings in the Bernabeu having only lost 1 of the last 5. My ratings suggest that Atletico are reasonable value to avoid defeat and there looks some reasonable value backing them on the +0.5/1.0 handicap.
Monaco Vs Juventus
There is still all to play for in this match and my ratings suggest that there is value both in the match and goal line. The ratings suggest value in under 2 goals and this is backed up in the stats where only 2 of Monaco’s last 15 Ligue 1 home games have seen 3 or more goals scored. However as always an early goal from Juventus changes the dynamics dramatically. For my trade I am going to turn to the match line where once again Monaco look underestimated. Monaco have kept 10 clean sheets in their last 15 Ligue 1 home games and they are incredibly difficult to break down. Despite beating Dortmund away last time out Juve are still do not look over convincing when facing the European elite away from Turin. My ratings suggest Juve should not be favourites to win this game and there looks to be some decent risk v reward backing Monaco on the +0.0/0.5 handicap.
My recommended trade for this game is Monaco +0/0.5 goals at around 1.95.