This Tuesday evening sees a vital Champions League tie, when Wolfsburg take on Manchester United at the Volkswagen Arena, Kick-off at 19:45 GMT.
Group B could not be tighter. The situation is with Wolfsburg topping the group a victory or a draw would see them progress to the knockout stages for the first time in their history. As far as United are concerned essentially they need to better the result of PSV Eindhoven who host bottom side CSKA Moscow.
Wolfsburg are again having a decent season, although here they are coming off a 1-2 defeat with Dortmund and currently Wolfsburg sit in 5th place on 25 points which is 15 points behind Bayern Munich. Wolfsburg’s recent home form reads a strong looking W11, D3, L1.
When hosting domestic sides placed in the Top 6 of the table, once again Wolfsburg’s form is strong and reads W7, D1, L2.
Wolfsburg have no real Champions League pedigree and their home record reads W3, D1, L1.
Since 2000 Wolfsburg have hosted Manchester United once in this competition and they lost 1-3 in 2009.
Manchester United have also made a solid start to the season and after drawing 0-0 with West Ham at Old Trafford on Saturday, Louis van Gaal’s side now sit in 4th place on 29 points. United now look as though they will make a real challenge for the title this season, and their recent Premier League away record reads W7, D3, L5.
When visiting sides placed in the Top 6 United’s record reads a mixed looking W4, D2, L4
Manchester United’s recent European away record reads a fairly average looking W2, D4, L4 and indeed they have only won 1 of their last 5 away matches.
Goal lines
As far as goals are concerned then when looking at Wolfsburg’s recent domestic home form the 12 of 15 matches have seen 3 or more goals scored with 0 matches containing just 1 or less goals. 9 of Manchester United’s last 15 Premier League matches have also seen 3 or more goals. Only 2 of United’s last 10 Champions League away matches have seen 1 or less goals scored and Over 2.0/2.5 goals looks to offer some value.
Summary
This will be an incredibly tense affair and with PSV hosting CSKA it is a must win for United. Here there is value in both the match and goal lines. With Wolfsburg having found the net in all 27 of their last 27 competitive games at the Volkswagen Arena, United will at some stage have to commit and if we see an early goal then the landscape changes completely. When taking the above into consideration there is definitely value backing over 2.0/2.5 goals. For my trade I am turning to the match line where as we have seen Wolfsburg have an extremely strong home record and despite losing twice at home in the Europa League last season the German side are certainly good value to avoid defeat. A draw will see Wolfsburg progress to the knockout stages and I will keep that on my side, and my recommended trade is Wolfsburg +0.0 goals at around 1.73.