NETHERLANDS - GERMANY
There is barely a price between the sides. Netherlands is the shortest price on a book of 2.38 / 3.80 / 2.70 (1 / X / 2), an implied 39.9%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 39.9% / 25.0% / 35.1% on an overround of 5.4%.
Liquidity is strong — €37,725 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
Netherlands team news: Donyell Malen is unavailable due to a muscle injury, while Frenkie de Jong and Mats Wieffer are definite non-starters for the Netherlands.
Netherlands team news: Brian Brobbey is likely to spearhead the attack after performing well for Sunderland this season.
Germany team news: Leon Goretzka and Angelo Stiller are both nursing injuries ahead of the Nations League campaign.
Germany team news: Bayern Munich's youngster Lennart Karl is set to feature in an attacking midfield position on Thursday.
Netherlands are without 3 — Frenkie de Jong (Out - injured), Mats Wieffer (Out - injured), Donyell Malen (Doubtful - injured).
Germany are without 2 — Leon Goretzka (Out - injured), Angelo Stiller (Doubtful - injured).
Early lineups are in: Netherlands set up 4-3-3 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
The projected score for this one is Netherlands 0 - 0 Germany, a draw with 0 goals in it — short of the 2.5 line.
The read: With barely anything between them on price, this is one to leave alone in the 1X2 market and attack in the goals or handicap markets instead.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 21:00 on 23rd September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.