Inter Milan host city rivals AC Milan at the San Siro


Inter Milan are coming into this game in some very average form. However they are coming off a decent 3-0 victory away at Verona, this was Inter’s first win in 6 Serie A matches. Inter now sit in 9th place on 41 points and they are now 8 points away from unlikely European qualification.  Inter’s recent home record reads W6, D5, L4. 

When hosting the 2nd tier Serie A sides Inter’s form reads an average looking W4, D2, L4 and they can be backed at around 2.30 and this price looks to offer some value. The recent head-to-head record at the San Siro certainly favours the home side and reads Inter 3 wins, 1 Draw and Milan 1 win. Indeed Inter have only lost 3 of the last 11 League meetings in the San Siro.

If you do fancy Inter then you have the option of keeping the draw on your side and they can be backed on the Asian Handicap - 0/0.5 goals at around 1.97. The draw can be backed at around 3.50 and this looks priced about right.

Milan are also coming into this match in mediocre form. However they have only lost 1 of their last 8 League matches. Milan currently sit in 8th place on 42 points and their recent away records reads an average yet resilient looking W3, D7, L5.

When facing 2nd tier Serie A sides Milan boast an average W2, D2, L6 record and they can be backed at around 3.50. If you do fancy Milan to do well here then I would certainly look to keep the draw on your side and they can be backed on the Asian Handicap +0/0.5 goals at around 2.00.

Looking at the goal line then the stats point to overs. When looking at both sides last 15 respective home and away games. In the 30 matches 18 have seen 3 or more goals and 12 have seen 2 or less. When looking at the stats against similar opposition, then 8 of Inters last 10 home games and 7 of Milan’s last 10 away games have also finished overs and over 2.5 goals can be backed at around 1.95.

This is a match between 2 European giants who have certainly seen better days. Although not impossible, it is now looking high unlikely that either of these 2 teams will qualify for next seasons Europa Cup. However this should certainly be a competitive match and my ratings suggest value backing Inter. For my trade I am turning to the goal line. When hosting sides placed in the top half of the table 12 of Inters last 17 have seen 3 or more goals and my recommended trade for this game is over 2.5 goals at around 1.95.

Category: Predictions

Written by: Matchbook

Date: 06:46 19 Apr, 2015