21 Nov 2015 19:15 Real Madrid v Barcelona
Saturday evening sees the first El Clasico of the season when Real Madrid host Barcelona in the Bernabeu Stadium, Madrid. Kick-off at 17:15 GMT.
Real Madrid come into this match, having made a reasonable start to the season. Currently after 11 matches they sit in 2nd place on 24 points, which is 3 behind today’s opponents. Despite this positive start Rafa Benitez side are coming off a very poor 1-3 defeat away at Sevilla. This was Real Madrid’s first defeat of the season and their recent home record reads a very strong looking W12, D3, L0
When hosting the top La Liga sides Real Madrid’s home record reads a less than inspiring W2, D1, L4 However despite this Real Madrid can be backed at around 2.55 and this offers some value. If you do fancy Madrid to do well here then you can keep the draw on your side and they can be backed on the Asian Handicap 0 goals at around 1.90
The recent head-to-head record in Madrid certainly is mixed and reads Real Madrid 2 wins, 1 Draw and Barcelona 2 wins.
The draw can be backed at around 3.70 and this looks to offer some value.
Champions Barcelona have made a very strong start to the season. They top the league on 27 points and their 3-0 victory over Villarreal was their 4th league win on the bounce. Barcelona’s recent away record reads W12, D1, L2.
When facing the elite sides, Barcelona’s record reads W4, D2, L2 and Luis Enrique’s side can be backed at around 2.80. If you do fancy Barcelona to do well here then I would again look to keep the draw on your side and Barcelona can be backed on the -0.0 handicap at around 2.05.
With the goal line set at 3 then we have some extremely mixed stats. When looking at both sides last 15 respective home and away matches. Then in the 30 matches 13 games have seen 4 or more goals, 6 games have seen 3 goals, and 11 games have seen 2 or less goals scored. Here my ratings suggest some small value in backing over 3 goals at around 1.83.
Once again this is a very tough game to call. My ratings suggest small value in the overs, and when looking at the last 10 La Liga meetings between the 2 sides, only 1 game has seen 2 or less goals. So here the risk v reward looks worth taking on. For my trade I am turning to the home side. Real Madrid have been defensively strong at home this season and they have only conceded 1 goal in 5 matches. When looking at Barcelona’s away record this season then they have lost 2 of their opening 5 away games. Here Madrid look value at their current price and the risk v reward on the handicap looks worth taking on. So here my recommended trade is Real Madrid +0.0 at around 1.90.