GENOA - FROSINONE
This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Genoa is the shortest price on a book of 2.10 / 3.30 / 3.60 (1 / X / 2), an implied 45.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 45.1% / 28.7% / 26.3% on an overround of 5.7%.
The draw is unusually well backed at 3.30 (28.7%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.
Liquidity is strong — €43,832 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Genoa sit 19th on 0 points (0W 0D 3L) with Frosinone 7th on 6 points (2W 0D 1L).
Genoa read L-L-L-L-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 1D 5L) — a badly out of sorts side.
Frosinone read W-W-L-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (5W 0D 1L) — about as good as form gets.
Head to head the record reads 2-2-2 — Genoa wins, draws, then Frosinone wins. Their last meeting finished Genoa - Frosinone: 1-1.
Genoa team news: Daniele De Rossi, seeking his first points of the campaign, may hand a debut to new signing Ehizibue on the right, while sticking with Ellertsson at left-back.
Genoa team news: In the attack, Osmajic—already on the scoresheet against Como—will team up with Colombo, with Baldanzi playing behind them.
Frosinone team news: A strong beginning to the campaign for Frosinone, who only suffered defeat on the opening day against Juventus before securing victories in their next two outings.
Frosinone team news: Alvini is therefore expected to name an unchanged lineup from the last game, with Raimondo leading the line, supported by Kvernadze, Schmid, and Fini.
Genoa are without 1 — Lorenzo Venturino (Out - injured).
Early lineups are in: Genoa set up 3-4-2-1 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Genoa lean hardest on Justin Bijlow (7.8), Djibril Sow (7.8), Leo Østigård (7.8) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Frosinone lean hardest on Giacomo Calò (8.3), Romano Schmid (8.3), Ilario Monterisi (8.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
The projected score for this one is Genoa 2 - 2 Frosinone, a draw with 4 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.
The read: Genoa at 2.10 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 15:00 on 11th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.