AZ ALKMAAR - WILLEM II
This is priced as a mismatch. Az Alkmaar is the shortest price on a book of 1.17 / 8 / 13 (1 / X / 2), an implied 80.9%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 80.9% / 11.8% / 7.3% on an overround of 5.7%.
Liquidity is strong — €11,102 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Az Alkmaar sit 1st on 15 points (5W 0D 0L) with Willem Ii 16th on 1 point (0W 1D 3L).
Az Alkmaar read W-W-W-W-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (5W 1D 0L) — about as good as form gets.
Willem Ii read L-D-L-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.
Head to head the record reads 3-1-2 — Az Alkmaar wins, draws, then Willem Ii wins. Their last meeting finished Willem Ii - Az Alkmaar: 0-2.
Az Alkmaar are without 4 — Kees Smit (Out - injured), Hobie Verhulst (Out - injured), Denso Kasius (Out - injured), Stije Resink (Out - injured).
Willem Ii are without 8 — Jari Schuurman (Out - injured), Vito van Crooij (Out - injured), Amine Lachkar (Out - injured), Anass Zarrouk (Out - injured), Armin Culum (Out - injured), Thijs Muller (Out - injured).
Early lineups are in: Az Alkmaar set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
Az Alkmaar lean hardest on Peer Koopmeiners (7.1), Mexx Meerdink (7.1), Weslley Patati (7.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Kees Smit is out for Az Alkmaar — index 8.1, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
Willem Ii lean hardest on Hidde ter Avest (8.3), Nathan Tjoe-A-On (8.3), Calvin Twigt (8.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.
Justin Hoogma is out for Willem Ii — index 8.3, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.
The projected score for this one is Az Alkmaar 3 - 0 Willem Ii, a home win by 3 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.
The read: Az Alkmaar at 1.17 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 11th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.