SPORT RECIFE - PONTE PRETA
This is priced as a mismatch. Sport Recife is the shortest price on a book of 1.09 / 9.5 / 17 (1 / X / 2), an implied 84.8%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 84.8% / 9.7% / 5.4% on an overround of 8.2%.
Liquidity is strong — €12,110 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
In the league table Sport Recife sit 10th on 38 points (9W 11D 6L) with Ponte Preta 20th on 10 points (2W 4D 20L).
Sport Recife read L-L-W-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 0D 3L) — patchy.
Ponte Preta read L-L-L-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 1D 5L) — a badly out of sorts side.
Head to head the record reads 4-1-1 — Sport Recife wins, draws, then Ponte Preta wins. Their last meeting finished Ponte Preta - Sport Recife: 0-4.
Sport Recife are without 3 — Felipinho (Out), Claudinho (Out), Patrick de Paula (Doubtful). Felipinho would normally be first on the team sheet — that is a real hole in this side.
Ponte Preta are without 6 — Elvis (Out), Kevyson (Doubtful), Diego Porfírio (Doubtful), Sérgio Palacios (Suspended), Jonathan Cafu (Out), Rodrigo Souza (Out). Elvis would normally be first on the team sheet — that is a real hole in this side.
The read: Sport Recife at 1.09 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 10th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.