19th April Newcastle host Spurs at St James Park.


Newcastle are coming into this game on the back of a 0-2 defeat at Liverpool and now Newcastle have lost their last 5 league games on the bounce. Currently Newcastle sit in 13th place on 35 points which is still 9 points above the drop zone but at this moment John Carver’s side looks to be in freefall. Newcastle’s recent home form reads W6, D4, L5.

When hosting the 2nd tier sides of the Premier League Newcastle’s record reads an average looking W4, D1, L5 and Newcastle can be backed at around 3.40.

The recent head-to-head record at the St James Park is mixed and reads Newcastle 1 win, 2 Draws and Spurs 1 win. 

If you do fancy Newcastle to do well here then your best option is certainly to keep an element of the draw on your side and they can be backed +0.0/0.5 goals on the Asian handicap at around 1.97.

The draw can be backed at around 3.50 and this looks correctly priced.

Spurs suffered a very poor defeat at the hands of former manager Tim Sherwood when they lost 0-1 against struggling Aston Villa at White Hart Lane last weekend. This defeat has left Spurs in 7th place on 54 points and they are now 7 points away from an increasingly unlikely looking Champions League place. Spurs recent away record reads a reasonable looking W7, D3, L5.

When facing teams of Newcastle’s grade, Spurs' away record reads an extremely strong looking W9, D1, L0 and Spurs can be backed at around 2.30.  

When looking at the goal line my ratings suggest that there is some small value in the Overs. When looking at both sides' last 10 home and away games against similar opposition then we see that in the 20 matches, 15 have seen 3 or more goals, and 5 have seen 2 or less goals scored. Also 11 of Spurs' last 12 away games have seen 3 or more goals. Over 2.5 goals can be backed at around 1.91.

This is a tough game to call and my ratings suggest that the match is priced correctly. However you cannot ignore Spurs excellent away record to teams of Newcastle’s stature. Despite recent results it would be ridiculous to write off Newcastle completely as they have beaten both Chelsea and Liverpool this season. Here my leaning would be to Spurs on the handicap. For my trade I am turning to the goal line where Spurs' away games have been full of goals. Also when Newcastle have hosted teams of Spurs grading then 8 of their last 9 matches have seen 3 or more goals. My ratings suggest that there is good value in backing Overs and my recommended trade for this game is over 2.5 goals at around 1.91.

Category: Predictions

Written by: Matchbook

Date: 14:01 17 Apr, 2015