This Friday evening sees a Bundesliga fixture when Hannover host Hertha Berlin at the HDI Arena. Kick-Off 19:30 GMT.
Hannover made a very poor start to the season, when they took just 2 points from their opening 7 matches. However things are now looking up for Michael Frontzeck’s side, who are coming off a 2-1 victory away at Hamburg. Hannover have now won 3 of their last 4 Bundesliga matches. Currently Hannover sit in 14th place on 11 points, and their recent home record reads a mediocre looking W3, D4, L8.
When playing teams of Berlin’s stature Hannover’s record reads a reasonable looking W5, D2, L3 and they can be backed at around 2.75. If you do fancy them to do well here then you can keep the draw on your side and Hannover can be backed on the Asian Handicap +0.0 goals at around 1.97.
The recent head-to-head record at the HDI Arena shows a real draw bias and reads Hannover 0 Wins, 3 Draws and Berlin 0 wins.
The draw can be backed at around 3.38 and my ratings suggest that this offers some small value.
Berlin are coming into this game on the back of a 1-4 defeat at home to Monchengladbach. Despite this defeat Berlin have made a reasonable start to the season and currently they sit in 6th place on 17 points. Hertha Berlin’s away record is average and reads W4, D3, L8.
However when facing teams of Hannover’s grading, Berlin’s away record is very resilient and reads W5, D4, L1 and they can be backed at around 2.80. As with Hannover, if you do fancy Berlin to do well here then you can keep the draw on your side and they can be backed -0.0 goals at around 1.97.
When looking at the goal line which is set at 2.0/2.5 goals, then the stats suggest value in Unders. When looking at both sides' last 10 home and away games to similar opposition then 7 games have seen 3 or more goals scored. 7 have seen 2 goals and 6 have seen 1 or less. In the case of Berlin, 11 of their last 15 away games have seen 2 or less goals and Under 2.0/2.5 goals can be backed at around 2.00.
This is a very tricky match to call and although the stats are pointing to unders my ratings suggest that the line is priced correctly. When it comes to the match line, then there are certainly some mixed messages coming across and as with the previous head-to -heads the draw has to be given serious consideration. What does stand out is the fact that Hannover offer no real value here and they should be opposed. Berlin have only lost 1 of their last 11 when visiting the bottom sides, and my recommended trade for this game is Hertha Berlin -0.0 goals at around 1.97.