This Saturday evening sees a competitive looking Bundesliga game, when Wolfsburg host Bayer Leverkusen at the Volkswagen Arena. Kick-Off 17:30 GMT.
Wolfsburg have made a decent start to the season and they are very much in contention of again taking a Top 4 place. Here they are coming off a 1-0 victory away at promoted Darmstadt, and this is their 2nd league victory on the bounce. Currently Wolfsburg sit in 4th place on 18 points, and their recent home record reads a very solid looking W11, D4, L0.
When playing the second tier sides in the Bundesliga, Wolfsburg’s record again reads a very strong looking W9, D1, L0 and they can be backed at around 2.70, and this looks to offer some value. If you do fancy Wolfsburg to do well here then you can keep the draw on your side, and they can be backed at around 1.95 on the +0.0 goal handicap.
The recent head-to-head record at the Volkswagen Arena certainly favours the home side Wolfsburg 4 Wins, 0 Draws and Leverkusen 1 win.
The draw can be backed at around 3.55 and this looks priced correctly.
Bayer Leverkusen are also having a decent season and they are coming off a very exciting 4-3 home victory over Stuttgart, where they came from being 1-3 behind. Leverkusen are now unbeaten in 5 matches and currently they sit in 6th place on 17 points, which is only 1 point behind today’s opposition. Leverkusen’s away record reads a reasonable looking W7, D3, L5.
When visiting teams of Wolfsburg’s grading, Leverkusen’s record reads an all or nothing W5, D0, L5 and they can be backed at around 2.75, and this looks priced a little low.
When analysing the goal line then the stats are mixed. When looking at both sides' last 10 home and away games against similar opposition then we see that in the 20 matches 7 games have seen 4 or more goals, 5 games have seen 3 and 8 have seen 2 or less. Although all 5 of the last 5 head-to-head matches have contained at least 3 goals, my ratings suggest there is some small value in backing Under 2.5/3.0 goals at around 1.92.
This looks a very good match up and my ratings suggest value in both the match and goal lines. When looking at the goal line. Although there is value in the Unders, the recent meetings between the 2 sides have been full of goals. For my trade I am turning to the match line where Wolfsburg have an extremely strong home record. Wolfsburg have only lost once in 27 home games, and that was against Bayern Munich. Leverkusen have only won 2 of their last 8 away and these wins were at Bremen & Hannover. Wolfsburg are a completely different proposition to both Bremen & Hannover, and their looks some decent risk v reward backing them on the handicap. So my recommended trade for this game is Wolfsburg +0.0 goals at around 1.95.