This Monday evening sees a Premier League fixture when Swansea entertain Stoke City at the Liberty Stadium. Kick-Off 20:00 BST.
Compared to last season, Swansea have started this campaign in fairly modest fashion. Garry Monk’s side have now only won 1 of their last 6 Premier league games, and are coming off an entertaining 2-2 draw at home to Spurs, and currently they sit in 11th place on 10 points. Swansea’s recent home record reads a reasonable looking W6, D5, L4. It should also be noted that Swansea have only lost 1 of their last 8 home matches.
When hosting sides of Stoke’s stature Swansea’s record is resilient and reads W5, D4, L1 and Swansea can be backed at around 2.07.
The recent head-to-head record at the Liberty Stadium certainly favours the home side and reads Swansea 3 wins, 1 Draw and Stoke 0 wins.
The draw can be backed at around 3.40 and this looks to offer some decent value and should be given some serious consideration. Especially when looking at both sides recent form to similar opposition.
After not winning in their opening 6 Premier League matches, Mark Hughes side have now won their last 2 matches on the bounce, and are coming off a 1-0 victory away at Aston Villa. Currently they sit in 14th place on 9 points and their recent away record reads W4, D6, L5.
When facing teams of Swansea’s grade Stoke’s away record reads a mediocre looking W1, D5, L4 however despite this Stoke can be backed at around a value looking 4.10. If you do fancy Stoke to do well here then you can keep the draw on your side and Stoke can be backed on the +0.5 goal handicap at around 1.88.
When looking at the goal line then the stats suggests value in the Unders. When looking at both sides' last 10 home and away games to similar opposition, only 4 of the 20 matches have seen 3 or more goals, 10 have seen 2 goals and 6 have seen 1 or less goals scored. My ratings suggest value in Under 2.0/2.5 goals which can be backed at around 1.96.
This looks an interesting matchup. Here all of the stats and trends suggest that the probability is Stoke will not win this game. However the stats and ratings also suggest they may not lose it either. Here when facing similar opposition 10 of the 20 matches have ended up all square, and the draw offers some very value at around 3.40. Rather than back Stoke on the +0.5 goal handicap, I am going to suggest turning to the goal line and backing Under 2.0/2.5 goals. With only 1 of Swansea last 10 hosting the mid table sides and 5 of Stokes last 16 away seeing 3 or more goals, then my recommended trade is Under 2.0/2.5 goals at around 1.96.