ANDERLECHT - KORTRIJK
A heavy favourite, with the price to match. Anderlecht is the shortest price on a book of 1.40 / 4.50 / 6.25 (1 / X / 2), an implied 65.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 65.1% / 20.3% / 14.6% on an overround of 9.7%.
The draw has drifted from 4.45 to 4.78 (6.9%). Layers are happy to take that side on, which is worth respecting.
Liquidity is strong — €12,984 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
Our monitoring has flagged unusual money on this game: 43% of the matched volume has gone on over 2.5 goals. Treat it as a signal to look closer, not as a tip in itself.
In the league table Anderlecht sit 11th on 3 points (1W 0D 2L) with Kortrijk 18th on 0 points (0W 0D 3L).
Anderlecht read L-W-W-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 0D 2L) — a strong recent run.
Kortrijk read L-L-L-W-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 0D 4L) — poor.
Head to head the record reads 3-2-1 — Anderlecht wins, draws, then Kortrijk wins. Their last meeting finished Kortrijk - Anderlecht: 0-2.
Our last-six model flags 5 qualifying strikes here. Reading Anderlecht first, then Kortrijk, out of their last six: O 2.50 5 and 4, O 3.50 5 and 1, HT O 1.50 5 and 2, GG 6 and 3, HT GG 3 and 2.
Anderlecht team news: Expect Oliver Antman to return to the Anderlecht line-up on Thursday.
Anderlecht team news: Marten Winkler could also start for Vitor Bruno's side.
Kortrijk team news: Suf Podgoreanu returned to the bench last time out after a short injury lay-off.
Kortrijk team news: However, Patrik Gunnarsson remains sidelined for Kortrijk heading into Thursday's away fixture.
Anderlecht are without 5 — Mario Stroeykens (Out - injured), Ilay Camara (Out - injured), Cedric Hatenboer (Out - injured), Lucas Hey (Out - injured), Killian Sardella (Out - injured).
Kortrijk are without 1 — Patrik Gunnarsson (Out - injured).
Early lineups are in: Anderlecht set up 4-4-2 against 4-4-1-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
The projected score for this one is Anderlecht 3 - 1 Kortrijk, a home win by 2 with 4 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.
The read: Anderlecht at 1.40 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 15:12 on 3rd September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.