A heavy favourite, with the price to match. Alianza Lima is the shortest price on a book of 1.36 / 3.89 / 11.91 (1 / X / 2), an implied 68.3%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 68.3% / 23.9% / 7.8% on an overround of 7.6%.

The draw has drifted from 3.83 to 4.14 (7.5%). Layers are happy to take that side on, which is worth respecting.

In the league table Alianza Lima sit 3rd on 12 points (3W 3D 0L) with Deportivo Garcilaso 1st on 13 points (4W 1D 1L).

Alianza Lima read D-W-D-W-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 3D 0L) — a strong recent run.

Deportivo Garcilaso read W-D-W-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.

Head to head the record reads 4-1-1 — Alianza Lima wins, draws, then Deportivo Garcilaso wins. Their last meeting finished Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima: 1-1.

Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Alianza Lima first, then Deportivo Garcilaso, out of their last six: U 2.50 5 and 4.

The read: Alianza Lima at 1.36 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 20:15 on 29th August 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.