BOLOGNA - SASSUOLO
This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Bologna is the shortest price on a book of 1.95 / 3.60 / 4.00 (1 / X / 2), an implied 49.3%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 49.3% / 26.7% / 24.0% on an overround of 4.1%.
Money has come for over 2.5 goals: the price has shortened from 2.08 to 1.92, a move of 8.3%. Steam like that on the day of the game usually reflects team news the wider market has not caught up with yet.
Under 2.5 goals has drifted from 1.80 to 1.97 (8.6%). Layers are happy to take that side on, which is worth respecting.
Liquidity is strong — €104,608 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
The goals market is priced 1.99 under 2.5 / 1.92 over 2.5, leaning to the overs.
In the league table Bologna sit 15th on 0 points (0W 0D 2L) with Sassuolo 11th on 3 points (1W 0D 1L).
Bologna read L-L-D-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.
Sassuolo read W-L-L-L-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 0D 4L) — poor.
Head to head the record reads 3-3-0 — Bologna wins, draws, then Sassuolo wins. Their last meeting finished Sassuolo - Bologna: 0-1.
Bologna team news: Domenico Tedesco is looking for a spark after back-to-back defeats and is set to revert to a 4-3-3 formation.
Bologna team news: Skorupski is expected to keep his place in goal despite his howler against Atalanta last time out.
Sassuolo team news: Alberto Aquilani is ready to stick with his own 4-3-3 setup, featuring Murić between the posts.
Sassuolo team news: The back four will consist of Cinquegrano, Idzes, Leysen, and Doig.
Bologna are without 3 — Oussama El Azzouzi (Out - injured), Nicolò Casale (Doubtful - injured), Riccardo Orsolini (Doubtful - injured).
Sassuolo are without 4 — Ismaël Koné (Out - injured), Fali Candé (Out - injured), Edoardo Pieragnolo (Out - injured), Daniel Boloca (Out - injured).
Early lineups are in: Bologna set up 4-3-3 against 4-3-3. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.
The projected score for this one is Bologna 2 - 1 Sassuolo, a home win by 1 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.
The read: Bologna at 1.95 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it. The late money is pointing the same way.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 14:30 on 6th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.