ST. MIRREN - CELTIC
A heavy favourite, with the price to match. Celtic is the shortest price on a book of 7.19 / 5.34 / 1.40 (1 / X / 2), an implied 68.6%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 13.4% / 18.0% / 68.6% on an overround of 4.1%.
Money has come for Celtic to win: the price has shortened from 1.50 to 1.39, a move of 7.9%. Steam like that on the day of the game usually reflects team news the wider market has not caught up with yet.
Under 2.5 goals has drifted from 2.69 to 2.87 (6.3%). Layers are happy to take that side on, which is worth respecting.
Liquidity is strong — €61,816 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
Our monitoring has flagged unusual money on this game: 90% of the matched volume has gone on Celtic to win. Treat it as a signal to look closer, not as a tip in itself.
The Asian line sits at 1.50 goals, with Celtic giving the start, split 1.85 / 2.07. The handicap is the cleaner read on the expected margin here.
In the league table St. Mirren sit 3rd on 10 points (3W 1D 0L) with Celtic 1st on 12 points (4W 0D 0L).
St. Mirren read W-D-L-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.
Celtic read W-W-L-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (5W 0D 1L) — about as good as form gets.
Head to head the record reads 1-0-5 — St. Mirren wins, draws, then Celtic wins. Their last meeting finished Celtic - St. Mirren: 1-0.
Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading St. Mirren first, then Celtic, out of their last six: HT GG 2 and 4.
The read: Celtic at 1.40 is heavily fancied away from home. Backing a favourite at that price only makes sense on the handicap. The late money is pointing the same way.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 19:31 on 5th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.