FLAMENGO - MIRASSOL
A heavy favourite, with the price to match. Flamengo is the shortest price on a book of 1.19 / 7.43 / 17.87 (1 / X / 2), an implied 81.5%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 81.5% / 13.1% / 5.4% on an overround of 3.1%.
Under 2.5 goals has drifted from 2.35 to 2.55 (7.8%). Layers are happy to take that side on, which is worth respecting.
Liquidity is strong — €10,860 already matched on the 1X2 market, putting this among the most heavily traded fixtures on the card. Prices in a market that deep are far more reliable than in a thin one.
Our monitoring has flagged unusual money on this game: 83% of the matched volume has gone on over 2.5 goals. Treat it as a signal to look closer, not as a tip in itself.
In the league table Flamengo sit 2nd on 48 points (14W 6D 4L) with Mirassol 16th on 25 points (6W 7D 11L).
Flamengo read W-L-W-W-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.
Mirassol read D-D-D-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 4D 2L) — patchy.
Head to head the record reads 1-1-0 — Flamengo wins, draws, then Mirassol wins. Their last meeting finished Mirassol - Flamengo: 3-3.
Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Flamengo first, then Mirassol, out of their last six: HT U 1.50 6 and 5.
Played at Maracana Stadium, capacity 73,139. Anderson Daronco takes charge.
The read: Flamengo at 1.19 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.
This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 2nd September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.